25% tariff attack, changes and opportunities of cross-border e-commerce logistics|NewYork|LosAngeles|FBA|Chicago|LongBeach|Miami|Dallas|Dallas

Company announcement

Industry news

Industry knowledge

common problem

Tel：

15919901225

Fax：

15919901225

QQ：

News > 25% tariff attack, changes and opportunities of cross-border e-commerce logistics

On May 9, 2019, the U.S. government announced that from May 10, 2019, the tariff rate on the $200 billion list goods imported from China will be inOn May 9, 2019, the U.S. government announced that from May 10, 2019, the tariff rate on the $200 billion list goods imported from China will be increased from 10% to 25%. At the same time, the US side has added another batch of US $300 billion list, which has been officially released. The U.S. trade representative's Office (USTR) announced that it would solicit opinions and hold a public hearing on the 25% tariff increase on about US $300 billion of Chinese goods.

As a counteraction and response to the US tax increase policy, China imposed tariffs on US $60 billion of imported goods, including 25% on 2493 tariff items; An additional 20% tariff will be levied on 1078 tariff items; An additional 10% tariff will be levied on 974 tariff items. An additional 5% tariff will still be levied on 595 tariff items.

25% tariff attack, changes and opportunities of cross-border e-commerce logistics

1. According to the current policy of duty-free import customs clearance within 800usd in the United States, some FBA small ticket commercial express through section 321 express customs clearance model and special line small package goods through commercial express customs clearance mode are currently least affected by the tax increase in the United States.

2. Based on the postal parcels in the UPU system of the Universal Postal Union and the e-postal treasure products between the China US bilateral postal agreements, the customs clearance is through the postal customs clearance model, the corresponding inspection rate and tax probability are small, and the impact of additional tariffs is relatively small.

3. After trump withdrew from UPU, although the prices of postal parcels, e-mail treasure and other products have increased by different ranges, they can still enjoy the tax dividend of import customs clearance. Therefore, under the background of trade war and tax increase, the volume of postal parcel goods increased rapidly, which brought greater delivery pressure to USPS and exacerbated its rising costs and expanding losses.

4. In order to avoid the impact and impact of the trade war, many businesses may adopt the strategy of breaking up the whole into parts to send FBA goods by commercial express, increase the frequency and density of replenishment and reduce the volume of single replenishment, so as to try to control the value of single invoice goods within the tax-free limit of USD800. Therefore, the volume of UPS, FedEx and other commercial small pieces may increase in the short term, Various express accounts with good prices are in short supply.

5. Through the commercial express customs clearance model, the volume of special line small package goods for customs clearance will further rise in the short term, and the resources of commercial express customs clearance licenses and customs clearance agencies in the United States will become more scarce. At the same time, the demand of high-quality small package special line for aviation position resources at the time point of direct high-quality flights will further rise. (e.g. CX, AA)

6. Shanghai style FBA goods through the formal customs declaration of general trade will directly face the rapid increase of tariff cost, and some empty bulk goods will also face the sharp increase of tariff cost.

7. The business of overseas warehouse will face certain challenges. Under many uncertain factors of the trade war, sellers will become more cautious in preparing a large number of goods in overseas warehouses, and the growth rate of goods in overseas warehouses may slow down.

8. While bringing the industrial chain of China's domestic manufacturing industry to Southeast Asia and other neighboring countries, the trade war will also drive the coordinated transfer of cross-border logistics supporting service industries. Therefore, Malaysia, Vietnam, Cambodia and other countries will usher in phased dividends of industrial chain transfer and trade entrepot.

9, given the special relationship between Taiwan and Chinese mainland and its unique location advantages, Taiwan will enjoy a certain dividend in industrial transfer in the context of the trade war. At the same time, the cargo volume of air and Sea Express lines between China and Taiwan will rise further.

10. Canada will have a certain profit margin in the Sino US trade war. There may be opportunities for transshipment warehouses around the US Canada border and entering the United States from the Canadian curve. Affected by the Huawei incident, but in view of the sensitive relationship between China and Canada, this deserves attention.

11. Europe and the United States are the mainstream market of cross-border e-commerce. Under the background of tax increase in the United States, people will naturally pay more attention to the European market. In Europe, more sellers will layout and pay attention.

12. For imports, most of the goods on which China imposes 25% tariff on the United States are mainly agricultural and sideline products, which will have a precise impact on American agriculture. China's tax increases are divided into 25%, 20%, 10% and 5%. After a comprehensive assessment of the impact of tax increases on different industries, tax increases are classified rather than one size fits all in the United States.

Summary:

The Sino US trade war will be a long-term game between the two superpowers of China and the United States on the future world competition pattern at a specific historical stage. For the majority of foreign trade e-commerce and cross-border logistics practitioners, it will be the most directly affected group.

There are also opportunities in the uncertainty of the trade war. We need to look at the challenges facing the whole country and even the industry with a more rational, cautious and optimistic attitude.

As a new business form of foreign trade development, cross-border e-commerce will play a more important role in stabilizing the country's export trade under the background of trade war. The online and fragmented development trend of Global trade will not be reversed by the artificial will of individual countries.

No one can stop the tide of mutual integration and cooperation of world scientific and Technological Development and the globalization process of the Internet, let alone the historical choice of China's peaceful rise of 1.4 billion people!
rical choice of China's peaceful rise of 1.4 billion people!